NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500

The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET for your 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite from the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds. Falling in just supporting him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta odds are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who finished in the top four final week at the Daytona 500. Prior to making your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 picks and NASCAR in Atlanta predictions, be sure to check out the projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into account.

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It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, such as nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it’s off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading contender from the start. Anyone who has followed its picks is way, way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his blood. Now his version simulated the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we could inform you that the model is top on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite going off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a long history at Atlanta, but he has had success there at all three of his starts at the track since linking the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished inside the top 10 in every one of these races and even got a top-five end in 2017.

Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five finishes at Atlanta at the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his dad, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five occasions in his career, so it is something of a home track for the 23-year-old. The model anticipates him to ride that edge towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Another shocker in the version: Kyle Busch, one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five.

The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up began on the pole in this race a season before, but wound up finishing in seventh place. The year prior, he had another fast ride and began the race in third, but ended up in 16th.

Considering his win at Atlanta in 2013, Busch has just run 56.7 percent of his laps within the top 15. For his career, he’s finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values within this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup compared to the 6-1 premium you’ll want to pay for him.

The version is also targeting three other drivers using 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta chances of 10-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

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